泛亚电竞

从需求端看不一样的2019

来源:泛亚电竞_泛亚电竞app怎么下载-官网APP下载 《金融&贸易》2018年第4期 作者:李奇霖
2018年超预期的房地产投资、制造业投资和出口增速,在2019年都将走弱。而在2018年经历了断崖式下跌的基建投资,2019年将企稳回升,消费由于减税和汽车拖累的减弱,将保持平稳。

ruguoyaoyongyigecilaixingrong2018niandegegezhongduanxuqiu,“chaoyuqi”shihenheshide。diyi,fangdichantouzizengsu2016nianhe2017nianlianxuliangnianshangsheng,gaoyadiaokongxia,shichangyujigaitouzi2018nianjiangmingxianhuiluo。danshijiqingkuangshifangdichantouziweichilehenqiangderenxing,2018nianqian10geyueleijizengsuwei9.7%,gaoyu2017nianquanniandezengsu7.0%。dier,xianxingsiweixia,zainianchushi,shichanggefangcengyuji2018nianjijiantouzinengweichiliangweishudezengsu。danshijiqingkuangshigaitouzizaoyuduanyashixiadie,qiansanjiduleijizengsuzhiyou0.3%。disan,zaiqugangganzhengcexia,yujizhizaoyetouzijiangweichidimi。danshijiqingkuangshi,zhizaoyetouzizengsuzai2018nian3yuejiandihouchixuhuisheng,qian10geyueleijizengsudadaole9.1%,erqiezheizhonghuishengshiyouminjiantouzidaidongde。disi,xiaofeizengsudimi,diepoliangweishu。10yueshehuixiaofeipinlingshouzongemingyizengsuxiajiangdao8.6%,tichuwujiayingxianghoushijizengsuzhiyou5.6%。2017nianhaizaitaolunxiaofeishengji,renweixiaofeizaijingjizengzhangzhongfahuizhezhongyaodemaodingzuoyong,dan2018nianyouyuxiaofeizengsudefanghuan,shifouchuxianxiaofeijiangjiyinqiledafanweitaolun。diwu,zhongmeimaoyimocaxia,chukouyiranweichilehenqiangderenxing。3yuemaoyichongtukaishishengji,dancongchukoushujushangkanyingxiangbingbumingxian,10yuedanyuechukouzengsudadaole15.6%,shinianneicigao。

2019niangegezhongduanxuqiuzoushiruheni?xiamianbizhecongxuqiuduanrushou,chuancharongzihezhongmeimaoyimocalianggeyinsu,duiwudaxuqiuzhuyizhankaifenxi。

地产: 销售支撑动力减弱,投资进入下行周期

xianlaikanfangdichantouzi,qishiyingxiang2019nianjingjizoushizuiweiguanjiandezhongduanxuqiuzhiyi。

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